Monday, March 24, 2014

Best Forex Brokers:Weekly Technical analysis for 24.03 - 28.03.2014

Best Forex Brokers:Weekly Technical analysis for 24.03 - 28.03.2014

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IMPORTANT ECONOMIC EVENTS (GMT)
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EURUSD:
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The price broke through the 20-days bullish trend line (purple) and dropped to the area of the 5-years bearish trend line (turquoise). Now it looks like the price is being supported by this level, which is something that cannot be said for sure. For this reason we do not exclude any of the two possible movements. We would like to note that the Momentum Indicator is still pointing the bearish direction as a potential future movement of the price, which is the only sign, which provides some kind of domination to one of the possible scenarios. Therefore, the best move here might be to wait for the price to develop on the graph, which might bring us more signs and signals for opening a position.

USDJPY:


It looks like the last three bottoms on the D1 chart have formed a bullish resistance, which is closing a triangle with the purple bearish trend line from the end of December. It is too early to talk about a break in the triangle so, the movement of the price inside its frames would be the topic of our analysis. The upper level of the triangle looks like the stronger one, because it has been tested six times, while the lower level of the triangle is tested only three times. Also, we should not forget that the last interaction and bounce of the price from the lower level of the triangle was created by means of a Double Bottom formation, which was an indication for the change in the direction. Since the price started a strong bullish movement after the last interaction with the lower level of the triangle, we expect the price to return to the purple bearish trend (the upper level of the triangle). The price could do this with breaking through the green resistance or with testing the green resistance and the purple bearish trend at one. This could be done in the orange circle, which indicates the interaction of the two levels.

GBPUSD:

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The price is still moving after the Double Top formation on D1, and as we forecasted, it broke again through the lower level of the blue corridor. The price has completed around 2/3 of the potential bearish activity, which hints that the price would most likely continue its bearish movement in order to reach its potential target. As we see, after the second top, the price has created a bearish trend line, which guides the price in its bearish journey. The line has been tested for three times and having in mind that the last test was relatively long ago and the price is a bit distant from the trend, it is likely to see a return to the trend before any continuation. The Momentum Indicator is in its lowest positions, which supports the eventual correction we just discussed.

USDCHF:

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The price went out of the red bearish corridor during the last week. There was a triangle (yellow) inside the corridor, which pushed the price in bullish direction and caused the bullish break (red circle). Then the price started consolidating with forming something like a triangle (blue), where the upper level is not very clear. The ascending bottoms and the descending tops support the triangle theory in this case. For this reason we expect a break, which is possible to be in both directions. In other words, the price might break in bearish direction in order to test the already broken upper level of the red bearish corridor, or it could directly start the new bullish movement. The Momentum Indicator supports the bulls.

AUDUSD:

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We see no significant change in the situation by this pair. The price still strives to start its bullish movement after the already confirmed inverted Head and Shoulders formation. As we see, the price records a slight increase in its tops, which is still not what it is likely to happen. The Momentum Indicator is the instrument, which demonstrates the potential strength, which the price might demonstrate in bullish direction. The Momentum Indicator shows a clear bullish activity, following a bullish trend line and the key moment was few hours ago, when after breaking through the 100-level line, the indicator returned to test the light blue trend line and the 100-level line as a support at once. A small bounce appeared afterwards (yellow circle). This is a proof of the bullish strength, which we might witness during the week.

Source From: Forex-Metal Broker


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