Monday, June 30, 2014

Top Forex Brokers:Forex Wave analysis and forecast of 27.06 – 04.07.2014

Top Forex Brokers:Forex Wave analysis and forecast of 27.06 – 04.07.2014


EUR/USD: Wave analysis and forecast of 27.06 – 04.07: The pair is undergoing correction. The pair is likely to decline in the medium-term. Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.3680.


Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 1.3680 with the target of 1.34 – 1.33.


Alternative scenario: Breakout of the level of 1.3680 will allow the price to continue the growth up to the levels of 1.3750 – 1.38.


Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the local correction in the second wave, which took shape of the irregular plain, is nearing completion. Locally it is possible that the wave c of (ii) has been formed, and if this assumption is correct, the pair will continue to decline in the third wave. Critical level for this scenario is 1.3680. If this level is broken down the pair will continue to grow, and the correction will deepen to the level of 1.3750 – 1.38 in the second wave.
EURUSD H4


EURUSD Dayli


GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 27.06 – 04.07: Ascending trend in the pair is nearing completion. It is likely that long-term decline in the pair will begin. Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.6950.


Our opinion: In the short-term: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 1.6950 with the target of 1.7080. In the medium-term: wait for the completion of the fifth wave and the reversal and sell the pair with the target of 1.66 or lower.


Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.6950 will enable the price to continue the decline to the levels of 1.67 – 1.66.


Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the ascending momentum in the fifth final wave of the senior level is nearing completion. At the moment, the fifth wave of the junior level is nearing completion. If this assumption is correct, the pair may decline in the long-term.
GPBUSD H4


GPBUSD Daily


USD/CHF Wave analysis and forecast for 27.06 – 04.07: The pair is undergoing correction. A chance of growth in the pair remains. Estimated pivot point is at the level of 0.8906.


Our opinion: Buy the pair above the level of 0.8906 with the target of 0.9150 – 0.9200.


Alternative scenario: Breakout of the level of 0.8906 will enable the pair to continue the decline to the levels of 0.8850 – 0.88.


Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the local correction as the second wave is nearing completion. Locally, it is not excluded that the formation of the wave (c) of ii has completed. If this assumption is correct, the pair will continue to grow in the third wave. As an alternative scenario: if the pair breaks down the critical level of 0.8906, the correction in the second wave may continue up to the levels of 0.8850 – 0.88.
USDCHF H4


USDCHF Daily


USD/JPY Wave analysis and forecast for 27.06 – 04.07: The pair is likely to decline.


Estimated pivot point is at the level of 102.19.


Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 102.19 with the target 100.80 – 100.0.


Alternative scenario: Violation of handle 102,19 will let a cuurence pair continue to grow up to handle 103,0.


Analysis: A breakout of the level 102.19 will let the pair grow up to the level 103.0 Admittedly, the formation of the last ABC zigzag wave under daily timeframe is continuing. Locally, there is a formation of the fifth wave, under which the (a),(b),(c) zigzag is forming. If the statement is true, the pair will fall near the level 100.0. The level 102.19 is critical for this scenario.
USDJPY H4


USDJPY Daily


USD/CAD Wave analysis and forecast for 27.06 – 04.07: Correction has completed. The pair is likely to grow. Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.0750.


Our opinion: Buy the pair above the level of 1.0750 with the target of 1.09 – 1.10.


Alternative scenario: The pair will continue to decline to the levels of 1.06 – 1.05.


Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the downward correction in the fourth wave с of 4 is nearing completion. Locally, downward momentum in the wave с of 4 is nearing completion. If this assumption is correct, in the near future the pair may reverse and start to grow in the fifth wave of the senior level.
USDCAD H4


USDCAD Dayli


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Top Forex Brokers:Forex Wave analysis and forecast of 27.06 – 04.07.2014

Best Forex Brokers:Weekly Economic Calendar For Jun 29, 2014-Jul 5, 2014

Best Forex Brokers:Weekly Economic Calendar For Jun 29, 2014-Jul 5, 2014


 


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DateCountryEventImpactPreviousConsensus
Sunday Jun 29, 08:00Chile Saint Peter and Saint Paul


Sunday Jun 29, 09:00New Zealand ANZ Business ConfidenceMedium53.5%
Sunday Jun 30, 05:00South Korea BOK Manufacturing BSILow77.0
Sunday Jun 30, 06:45New Zealand Building Permits s.a. (MoM)Low1.5%
Sunday Jun 30, 07:05United Kingdom Gfk Consumer ConfidenceMedium

Sunday Jun 30, 07:50Japan Industrial Production (YoY)Medium3.8%
Sunday Jun 30, 07:50Japan Industrial Production (MoM)Medium-2.8%0.9%
Monday Jun 30, 08:00Colombia Sacred Heart


Monday Jun 30, 08:30Australia TD Securities Inflation (MoM)Low0.3%
Monday Jun 30, 08:30Australia TD Securities Inflation (YoY)Low2.9%
Monday Jun 30, 09:00Australia HIA New Home Sales (MoM)Medium2.9%
Monday Jun 30, 09:00New Zealand ANZ Business ConfidenceMedium53.5%
Monday Jun 30, 09:30Australia Private Sector Credit (MoM)Low0.5%0.4%
Monday Jun 30, 09:30Australia Private Sector Credit (YoY)Low4.6%
Monday Jun 30, 11:00New Zealand ANZ Activity OutlookLow51.0%
Monday Jun 30, 11:00New Zealand M3 Money Supply (YoY)Low5.3%
Monday Jun 30, 12:00Japan Vehicle Production (YoY)Low3.4%
Monday Jun 30, 13:00Japan Annualized Housing StartsMedium906.0
Monday Jun 30, 13:00Japan Construction Orders (YoY)Medium104.9%
Monday Jun 30, 13:00Japan Housing Starts (YoY)Medium-3.3%-10.6%
Monday Jun 30, 14:00Germany Retail Sales (MoM)Medium-0.9%0.7%
Monday Jun 30, 14:00Germany Retail Sales (YoY)Medium3.4%2.1%
Monday Jun 30, 14:00South Africa M3 Money Supply (YoY)Low6.98%
Monday Jun 30, 14:00South Africa Private Sector CreditLow8.27%
Monday Jun 30, 15:00Denmark Gross Domestic Product – Revised (YoY)Low0.5%
Monday Jun 30, 15:00Turkey Trade BalanceLow-7.214
Monday Jun 30, 15:00Denmark Unemployment RateLow3.9%
Monday Jun 30, 15:00Hungary Producer Price Index (YoY)Low-1.5%
Monday Jun 30, 16:00European Monetary Union M3 Money Supply (3m)Low1.0%
Monday Jun 30, 16:00European Monetary Union M3 Money Supply (YoY)Low0.8%0.8%
Monday Jun 30, 16:00European Monetary Union Private loans (YoY)Low-1.8%-1.6%
Monday Jun 30, 16:00Austria Producer Price Index (MoM)Low0.0
Monday Jun 30, 16:00Austria Producer Price Index (YoY)Low-1.2
Monday Jun 30, 16:00Czech Republic M2 Money Supply (YoY)Low4.8%
Monday Jun 30, 16:00Norway Credit IndicatorLow5.6%
Monday Jun 30, 16:00Norway Retail SalesLow0.5%
Monday Jun 30, 16:00Spain Current Account BalanceLow€-1.8
Monday Jun 30, 16:00Italy Producer Price Index (MoM)Low-0.3%
Monday Jun 30, 16:00Italy Producer Price Index (YoY)Low-1.5%-1.3%
Monday Jun 30, 16:30United Kingdom M4 Money Supply (MoM)Low-0.2%
Monday Jun 30, 16:30United Kingdom M4 Money Supply (YoY)Low-0.6%
Monday Jun 30, 16:30United Kingdom Mortgage ApprovalsMedium62.91861.6
Monday Jun 30, 16:30United Kingdom Net Lending to Individuals (MoM)Medium£2.4
Monday Jun 30, 16:30United Kingdom Consumer CreditLow£0.666£0.7
Monday Jun 30, 17:00Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (MoM)Low-0.1%0.0%
Monday Jun 30, 17:00Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY)Low0.4%0.2%
Monday Jun 30, 17:00Italy Consumer Price Index (MoM)Low-0.1%0.1%
Monday Jun 30, 17:00Italy Consumer Price Index (YoY)Low0.5%0.3%
Monday Jun 30, 17:00European Monetary Union Consumer Price Index – Core (YoY)High0.7%
Monday Jun 30, 17:00European Monetary Union Consumer Price Index (YoY)High0.5%0.6%
Monday Jun 30, 17:00Greece Retail Sales (YoY)Low-0.8%
Monday Jun 30, 18:30India Federal Fiscal Deficit, INRLow5081.49
Monday Jun 30, 20:00Russia Gross Domestic Product Quarterly (YoY)Low2.0%
Monday Jun 30, 20:00South Africa Trade Balance (in Rands)Low-13.03
Monday Jun 30, 20:30Canada Gross Domestic Product (MoM)High0.1%
Monday Jun 30, 21:00Chile Unemployment rateLow6.1%
Monday Jun 30, 21:30Brazil Nominal Budget BalanceLow-4.615
Monday Jun 30, 21:30Brazil Primary Budget SurplusLow16.896
Monday Jun 30, 21:45United States Chicago Purchasing Managers’ IndexMedium65.562.9
Monday Jun 30, 22:00United States Pending Home Sales (MoM)Medium0.4%0.8%
Monday Jun 30, 22:00United States Pending Home Sales (YoY)Medium-9.2%
Monday Jun 30, 22:30United States Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business IndexLow8.0
Monday Jun 30, 23:30United States 3-Month Bill AuctionLow0.025%
Monday Jun 30, 23:30United States 6-Month Bill AuctionLow0.05%
Monday Jul 01, 01:10United States FOMC Member Williams speechHigh

Monday Jul 01, 03:00Argentina Monthly Econ Activity (MoM)Low-0.9%
Monday Jul 01, 03:30Mexico Fiscal Balance, pesosLow12.48
Monday Jul 01, 07:00South Korea Consumer Price Index GrowthLow0.2%
Monday Jul 01, 07:00South Korea Consumer Price Index Growth (YoY)Low1.7%
Monday Jul 01, 07:30Australia AiG Performance of Mfg IndexMedium49.2
Monday Jul 01, 07:50Japan Tankan Large All Industry CapexMedium0.1%6.0%
Monday Jul 01, 07:50Japan Tankan Large Manufacturing IndexMedium17.015.0
Monday Jul 01, 07:50Japan Tankan Large Manufacturing OutlookMedium8.017.0
Monday Jul 01, 07:50Japan Tankan Non – Manufacturing IndexMedium24.019.0
Monday Jul 01, 07:50Japan Tankan Non – Manufacturing OutlookMedium13.021.0
Tuesday Jul 01, 08:00Canada Canada Day


Tuesday Jul 01, 08:00Hong Kong SAR Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Establishment Day


Tuesday Jul 01, 08:00South Africa Total New Vehicle SalesLow54281.0
Tuesday Jul 01, 09:00China NBS Manufacturing PMIHigh50.8
Tuesday Jul 01, 09:30Japan Labor Cash Earnings (YoY)Low0.9%
Tuesday Jul 01, 09:35Japan Nomura/ JMMA Manufacturing Purchasing Manager IndexMedium51.1
Tuesday Jul 01, 09:45China HSBC Manufacturing PMIHigh49.4
Tuesday Jul 01, 12:00Indonesia Core Inflation (YoY)Low4.82%
Tuesday Jul 01, 12:00Indonesia ExportsLow-3.16%
Tuesday Jul 01, 12:00Indonesia ImportsLow$11.93
Tuesday Jul 01, 12:00Indonesia Inflation (MoM)Low0.16%
Tuesday Jul 01, 12:00Indonesia Inflation (YoY)Low7.32%
Tuesday Jul 01, 12:00Indonesia Trade BalanceLow$-1.97
Tuesday Jul 01, 12:30Australia RBA Interest Rate DecisionHigh2.5%2.5%
Tuesday Jul 01, 12:30Australia RBA Rate StatementMedium

Tuesday Jul 01, 13:00Peru InflationLow0.23%
Tuesday Jul 01, 13:00Ireland Purchasing Manager Index ManufacturingLow55.0
Tuesday Jul 01, 13:00Russia HSBC Manufacturing PMILow48.9
Tuesday Jul 01, 13:00Japan Vehicle Sales (YoY)Low-5.6%
Tuesday Jul 01, 14:30Sweden Purchasing Managers Index Manufacturing (MoM)Low54.1
Tuesday Jul 01, 14:30Australia RBA Commodity Index SDR (YoY)Low-12.8%
Tuesday Jul 01, 15:00Hungary Purchasing Manager IndexLow53.9
Tuesday Jul 01, 15:13Spain Markit Manufacturing PMIHigh52.952.5
Tuesday Jul 01, 15:30Turkey ExportsLow$13.41
Tuesday Jul 01, 15:30Czech Republic Markit PMILow57.3
Tuesday Jul 01, 15:30Switzerland SVME – Purchasing Managers’ IndexMedium52.552.9
Tuesday Jul 01, 15:45Italy Markit Manufacturing PMIHigh53.253.0
Tuesday Jul 01, 15:50France Markit Manufacturing PMIHigh49.647.9
Tuesday Jul 01, 15:55Germany Unemployment ChangeHigh24.0-5.0
Tuesday Jul 01, 15:55Germany Unemployment Rate s.a.Medium6.7%6.7%
Tuesday Jul 01, 15:55Germany Markit Manufacturing PMIHigh52.3
Tuesday Jul 01, 15:58Greece Markit Manufacturing PMIHigh51.0
Tuesday Jul 01, 16:00Italy UnemploymentHigh12.6%12.6%
Tuesday Jul 01, 16:00European Monetary Union Markit Manufacturing PMIMedium52.251.9
Tuesday Jul 01, 16:30United Kingdom Markit Manufacturing PMIMedium57.0
Tuesday Jul 01, 17:00Romania Interest rate decisionLow3.5%
Tuesday Jul 01, 17:00European Monetary Union Unemployment RateMedium11.7%11.7%
Tuesday Jul 01, 18:00Austria UnemploymentHigh290.9
Tuesday Jul 01, 18:00Austria Unemployment RateLow7.7%
Tuesday Jul 01, 20:00Czech Republic Budget BalanceLow-9.52
Tuesday Jul 01, 20:00United States Treasury Sec Lew SpeechMedium

Tuesday Jul 01, 20:55United States Redbook index (MoM)Low-1.7%
Tuesday Jul 01, 20:55United States Redbook index (YoY)Low3.3%
Tuesday Jul 01, 21:00Brazil HSBC PMI ManufacturingLow48.8
Tuesday Jul 01, 21:45United States Markit Manufacturing PMIMedium56.4
Tuesday Jul 01, 22:00United States Construction Spending (MoM)Low0.2%0.4%
Tuesday Jul 01, 22:00United States ISM Manufacturing PMIMedium55.455.8
Tuesday Jul 01, 22:00United States ISM Prices PaidLow60.062.0
Tuesday Jul 01, 22:00United States IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism (MoM)Medium47.7
Tuesday Jul 01, 23:30United States 4-Week Bill AuctionLow0.01%
Tuesday Jul 02, 02:00Brazil Trade BalanceLow0.712
Tuesday Jul 02, 04:00United States Total Vehicle SalesLow16.816.4
Tuesday Jul 02, 07:01United Kingdom BRC Retail Sales Monitor – All (YoY)Low0.5%
Tuesday Jul 02, 07:50Japan Monetary Base (YoY)Low45.6%
Wednesday Jul 02, 09:00New Zealand ANZ Commodity PriceLow-2.2%
Wednesday Jul 02, 09:30Australia ExportsLow-1.0%
Wednesday Jul 02, 09:30Australia ImportsLow2.0%
Wednesday Jul 02, 09:30Australia Trade BalanceHigh-122.0
Wednesday Jul 02, 14:00United Kingdom Nationwide Housing Prices n.s.a (YoY)Low11.1%11.2%
Wednesday Jul 02, 14:00United Kingdom Nationwide Housing Prices s.a (MoM)Low0.7%0.6%
Wednesday Jul 02, 15:00Spain Unemployment ChangeHigh-111.9
Wednesday Jul 02, 16:30United Kingdom PMI ConstructionLow60.0
Wednesday Jul 02, 17:00European Monetary Union Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ)Medium0.2%
Wednesday Jul 02, 17:00European Monetary Union Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY)High0.9%
Wednesday Jul 02, 17:00European Monetary Union Producer Price Index (MoM)Low-0.1%-0.1%
Wednesday Jul 02, 17:00European Monetary Union Producer Price Index (YoY)Low-1.2%-1.0%
Wednesday Jul 02, 18:30Poland NBP Base rateLow2.5%
Wednesday Jul 02, 19:00Brazil Fipe’s IPC InflationLow0.25%
Wednesday Jul 02, 19:00United States MBA Mortgage ApplicationsLow-1.0%
Wednesday Jul 02, 19:15Australia RBA Assist Gov Debelle SpeechMedium

Wednesday Jul 02, 19:30United States Challenger Job Cuts (YoY)Low52.961
Wednesday Jul 02, 20:00Brazil Industrial Output (MoM)Low-0.3%
Wednesday Jul 02, 20:00Brazil Industrial Output (YoY)Low-5.8%
Wednesday Jul 02, 20:15United States ADP Employment ChangeHigh179.0205.0
Wednesday Jul 02, 21:30Singapore Purchasing Managers IndexLow50.8
Wednesday Jul 02, 21:45United States ISM New York indexLow55.3
Wednesday Jul 02, 22:00United States Factory Orders (MoM)Medium0.7%0.3%
Wednesday Jul 02, 22:00Denmark Currency ReservesLow436.7
Wednesday Jul 02, 22:30United States EIA Crude Oil Stocks changeMedium1.742
Wednesday Jul 02, 23:00United States Fed’s Yellen SpeechHigh

Wednesday Jul 03, 07:30Australia AiG Performance of Services IndexMedium49.9
Wednesday Jul 03, 07:50Japan Foreign bond investmentLow¥1486.5
Wednesday Jul 03, 07:50Japan Foreign investment in Japan stocksLow¥295.6
Thursday Jul 03, 09:00China Non-manufacturing PMIHigh55.5
Thursday Jul 03, 09:30Australia Building Permits (MoM)Medium-5.6%
Thursday Jul 03, 09:30Australia Building Permits (YoY)Medium1.1%
Thursday Jul 03, 09:30Australia Retail Sales s.a. (MoM)Medium0.2%
Thursday Jul 03, 09:35Japan Markit Services PMIMedium49.3
Thursday Jul 03, 09:45China HSBC China Services PMIMedium50.7
Thursday Jul 03, 13:00Russia Purchasing Manager Index ServicesLow46.1
Thursday Jul 03, 13:00Ireland Purchasing Manager Index ServicesLow61.7
Thursday Jul 03, 15:00Turkey Consumer Price Index (MoM)Low0.4%
Thursday Jul 03, 15:00Turkey Consumer Price Index (YoY)Low8.33%
Thursday Jul 03, 15:00Turkey Producer Price Index (MoM)Low-0.52%
Thursday Jul 03, 15:00Turkey Producer Price Index (YoY)Low9.03%
Thursday Jul 03, 15:00Hungary Retail Sales (YoY)Low6.6%
Thursday Jul 03, 15:13Spain Markit Services PMILow55.755.0
Thursday Jul 03, 15:30Sweden Riksbank Interest Rate DecisionLow0.75%
Thursday Jul 03, 15:45Italy Markit Services PMIMedium51.652.0
Thursday Jul 03, 15:50France Markit Services PMIMedium49.148.2
Thursday Jul 03, 15:55Germany Markit Services PMIMedium56.054.8
Thursday Jul 03, 16:00European Monetary Union Markit PMI CompositeMedium53.552.8
Thursday Jul 03, 16:00European Monetary Union Markit Services PMIMedium53.252.8
Thursday Jul 03, 16:30United Kingdom Markit Services PMIMedium58.6
Thursday Jul 03, 16:30Hong Kong SAR Retail SalesLow-9.8%
Thursday Jul 03, 17:00France 10-y Bond AuctionLow1.96%
Thursday Jul 03, 17:00European Monetary Union Retail Sales (MoM)Medium0.4%0.3%
Thursday Jul 03, 17:00European Monetary Union Retail Sales (YoY)Medium2.4%2.0%
Thursday Jul 03, 18:00Ireland Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Low-2.3%
Thursday Jul 03, 18:00Ireland Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Low-0.7%
Thursday Jul 03, 19:45European Monetary Union ECB Interest Rate DecisionHigh0.15%
Thursday Jul 03, 20:00United States Labor Force Participation RateMedium62.8%
Thursday Jul 03, 20:30United States Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Medium0.2%0.2%
Thursday Jul 03, 20:30United States Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Medium2.1%
Thursday Jul 03, 20:30United States Average Weekly HoursMedium34.5
Thursday Jul 03, 20:30European Monetary Union ECB Monetary policy statement and press conferenceHigh

Thursday Jul 03, 20:30Canada ExportsLow$42.83
Thursday Jul 03, 20:30Canada ImportsLow$43.46
Thursday Jul 03, 20:30Canada International Merchandise TradeLow$-0.64
Thursday Jul 03, 20:30United States Nonfarm PayrollsHigh217.0213.0
Thursday Jul 03, 20:30United States Trade BalanceHigh$-47.24$-45.2
Thursday Jul 03, 20:30United States Unemployment RateHigh6.3%6.3%
Thursday Jul 03, 20:30United States Continuing Jobless ClaimsMedium2.571
Thursday Jul 03, 20:30United States Initial Jobless ClaimsHigh312.0
Thursday Jul 03, 21:45United States Markit Services PMIMedium58.1
Thursday Jul 03, 21:45United States Markit PMI CompositeMedium58.6
Thursday Jul 03, 22:00United States ISM Non-Manufacturing PMIHigh56.356.7
Thursday Jul 03, 22:30United States EIA Natural Gas Storage changeLow110.0
Friday Jul 04, 08:00United States Independence Day


Friday Jul 04, 10:30Hong Kong SAR Markit Manufacturing PMILow49.1
Friday Jul 04, 14:00Germany Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY)Medium6.3%
Friday Jul 04, 14:00Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM)Medium3.1%
Friday Jul 04, 15:00United Kingdom Halifax House Prices (3m/YoY)Low8.7%
Friday Jul 04, 15:00United Kingdom Halifax House Prices (MoM)Low3.9%
Friday Jul 04, 15:00Hungary Industrial Output (YoY)Low10.1%
Friday Jul 04, 15:00Czech Republic Retail Sales (YoY)Low6.0%
Friday Jul 04, 15:30Sweden Industrial Production (YoY)Low0.6%
Friday Jul 04, 15:30Sweden New Orders Manufacturing (YoY)Low-1.0%
Friday Jul 04, 21:00Mexico Consumer ConfidenceLow90.7
Friday Jul 04, 21:00Mexico Consumer Confidence s.aLow90.4
Saturday Jul 05, 08:00Czech Republic St Cyril and Methodius Day


Saturday Jul 05, 08:00Slovakia St Cyril and Methodius Day


Regards,




Best Forex Brokers:Weekly Economic Calendar For Jun 29, 2014-Jul 5, 2014